Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Liège to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiège to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Liège vs Lommel United preview and prediction
The match
Lommel United travel to Stade de Rocourt in the Jupiler Pro League on Monday 27 April (19:30 WAT) to face Liège.
Form guide
Liège's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Lommel United 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lommel United's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Liège 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Lommel United 3–0 Liège.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Liège and 1.5 for Lommel United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liège 39%, draw 22%, Lommel United 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Liège to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Liège 1–1 Lommel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liège39%fair 2.57 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.55
Lommel United39%fair 2.58 · @2.10
2.97Expected goals
1.49Liège xG
1.48Lommel United xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Liège 1.5 – 1.5 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liège vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liège vs Lommel United?
On our numbers Liège have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lommel United 39%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs Lommel United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Liège vs Lommel United?
Liège vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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