Value bet: PEPO to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPEPO to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.15
Reipas vs PEPO preview and prediction
The match
The Kakkonen Lohko A sees Reipas take on PEPO on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Lahden kisapuisto. Reipas are 7th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while PEPO sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Reipas's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Atlantis 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
PEPO's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat MyPa 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
PEPO arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 June 2026, finished PEPO 2–1 Reipas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Reipas and 1.9 for PEPO. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Reipas 37%, draw 20%, PEPO 43%.
Value angle: PEPO to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Reipas 2–2 PEPO. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reipas37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.95
PEPO43%fair 2.33 · @2.50
3.63Expected goals
1.74Reipas xG
1.89PEPO xG
57%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Reipas 1.7 – 1.9 PEPO expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Reipas vs PEPO?
On our numbers Reipas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PEPO 43%.
How many goals will there be in Reipas vs PEPO?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reipas vs PEPO?
Our predicted score is Reipas 2–2 PEPO, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Reipas vs PEPO?
Reipas vs PEPO (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden kisapuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
