Value bet: PPJ to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPPJ to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
PPJ vs HPS preview and prediction
The match
HPS travel to face PPJ in the Kakkonen Lohko A on Friday 7 August (17:00 WAT). PPJ are 6th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while HPS sit 5th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PPJ's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Reipas 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
HPS's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with HIFK Helsinki 5–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
HPS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished HPS 2–2 PPJ.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.3 for PPJ and 1.4 for HPS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PPJ 60%, draw 14%, HPS 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.36.
Value angle: PPJ to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: PPJ 2–1 HPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PPJ60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw14%fair 7.11 · @4.00
HPS26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
3.75Expected goals
2.32PPJ xG
1.43HPS xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: PPJ 2.3 – 1.4 HPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win PPJ vs HPS?
On our numbers PPJ have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 14% and HPS 26%.
How many goals will there be in PPJ vs HPS?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PPJ vs HPS?
Our predicted score is PPJ 2–1 HPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is PPJ vs HPS?
PPJ vs HPS (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
