Value bet: Reipas to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReipas to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72
Reipas vs PPJ preview and prediction
The match
The Kakkonen Lohko A sees Reipas take on PPJ on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lahden kisapuisto. Reipas are 7th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while PPJ sit 6th on 23 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Reipas's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat MyPa 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
PPJ's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Union Plaani 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished PPJ 3–0 Reipas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Reipas and 1.3 for PPJ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Reipas 61%, draw 18%, PPJ 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Reipas to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Reipas 2–1 PPJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reipas61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @3.60
PPJ21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
3.64Expected goals
2.33Reipas xG
1.31PPJ xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Reipas 2.3 – 1.3 PPJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Reipas vs PPJ?
On our numbers Reipas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and PPJ 21%.
How many goals will there be in Reipas vs PPJ?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reipas vs PPJ?
Our predicted score is Reipas 2–1 PPJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Reipas vs PPJ?
Reipas vs PPJ (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden kisapuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
