Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPEPO to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chancePEPO or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
PEPO vs HPS preview and prediction
The match
HPS travel to Kimpisen stadion in the Kakkonen Lohko A on Saturday 11 July (15:00 WAT) to face PEPO. PEPO are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while HPS sit 5th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PEPO's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Atlantis 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
HPS's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Reipas 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HPS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for PEPO and 1.1 for HPS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PEPO 61%, draw 21%, HPS 17%.
Safer route: PEPO or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was PEPO or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: PEPO 2–1 HPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PEPO61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
HPS17%fair 5.78 · @3.90
3.36Expected goals
2.23PEPO xG
1.13HPS xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: PEPO 2.2 – 1.1 HPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PEPO to win✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
PEPO or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
PEPO ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PEPO / FT PEPO✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
PEPO – last 6
LDLWDD
4 Jul
@ Atlantis
1–5
L
27 Jun
vs PPJ
2–2
D
13 Jun
@ HIFK Helsinki
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Reipas
2–1
W
29 May
@ MyPa
0–0
D
23 May
vs Union Plaani
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HPS – last 6
WWLWDW
4 Jul
vs Reipas
3–2
W
27 Jun
@ PuiU Helsinki
2–0
W
12 Jun
vs Kiffen
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Union Plaani
2–0
W
31 May
vs PPJ
2–2
D
22 May
@ HIFK Helsinki
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEPO and HPS.
Our pick is PEPO or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PEPO vs HPS?
On our numbers PEPO have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and HPS 17%.
How many goals will there be in PEPO vs HPS?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEPO vs HPS?
Our predicted score is PEPO 2–1 HPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is PEPO vs HPS?
PEPO vs HPS (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kimpisen stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
