HPS host Kiffen in the Kakkonen Lohko A on Friday 12 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Briotech Arena. HPS are 5th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Kiffen sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
HPS's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Union Plaani 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kiffen's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat PuiU Helsinki 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for HPS and 1.8 for Kiffen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: HPS 39%, draw 21%, Kiffen 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: HPS 1–1 Kiffen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HPS39%fair 2.54 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.75
Kiffen40%fair 2.52 · @2.25
3.57Expected goals
1.78HPS xG
1.79Kiffen xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: HPS 1.8 – 1.8 Kiffen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kiffen to win✓
40%
2.52
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kiffen / FT Kiffen✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.46
–
Form
HPS – last 5
WDWLD
6 Jun
@ Union Plaani
2–0
W
31 May
vs PPJ
2–2
D
22 May
@ HIFK Helsinki
2–0
W
28 Apr
vs Mariehamn
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Reipas
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Kiffen – last 4
WWDL
8 Jun
vs PuiU Helsinki
2–0
W
29 May
@ Union Plaani
2–0
W
18 May
@ HIFK Helsinki
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Reipas
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HPS and Kiffen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win HPS vs Kiffen?
On our numbers HPS have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kiffen 40%.
How many goals will there be in HPS vs Kiffen?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HPS vs Kiffen?
Our predicted score is HPS 1–1 Kiffen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is HPS vs Kiffen?
HPS vs Kiffen (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Briotech Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
