Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: GrIFK to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrIFK to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceGrIFK or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Musa vs GrIFK preview and prediction
The match
The Kakkonen Lohko B sees Musa take on GrIFK on Thursday 9 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Porin Stadion. Musa are 9th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while GrIFK sit 7th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Musa's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Honka 1–7 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
GrIFK's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat NJS 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for Musa and 2.4 for GrIFK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Musa 12%, draw 25%, GrIFK 63%.
Safer route: GrIFK or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Value angle: GrIFK to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GrIFK or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Musa 1–2 GrIFK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Musa12%fair 8.10 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
GrIFK63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
3.57Expected goals
1.13Musa xG
2.44GrIFK xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Musa 1.1 – 2.4 GrIFK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GrIFK to win✗
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
GrIFK or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
GrIFK ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GrIFK / FT GrIFK✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Musa – last 6
LDWDLL
4 Jul
@ Honka
1–7
L
27 Jun
vs P-Iirot
2–2
D
12 Jun
@ EBK
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs NJS
0–0
D
29 May
@ ÅIFK
2–4
L
23 May
vs Ilves II
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
GrIFK – last 6
WWDDLL
3 Jul
vs NJS
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ EPS
3–1
W
12 Jun
vs HJS Akatemia
2–2
D
29 May
vs P-Iirot
1–1
D
24 May
@ EBK
0–1
L
9 May
@ ÅIFK
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Musa and GrIFK.
Our pick is GrIFK or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Musa vs GrIFK?
On our numbers Musa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and GrIFK 63%.
How many goals will there be in Musa vs GrIFK?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Musa vs GrIFK?
Our predicted score is Musa 1–2 GrIFK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Musa vs GrIFK?
Musa vs GrIFK (Kakkonen Lohko B) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Porin Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
