Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✓38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Atenas vs Fenix preview and prediction
The match
Atenas host Fenix in the Segunda División on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Atenas are 1st with 44 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Fenix sit 11th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Atenas and 1.2 for Fenix. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 36%, draw 25%, Fenix 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 54% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Atenas 1–1 Fenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas36%fair 2.75 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Fenix38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
2.40Expected goals
1.18Atenas xG
1.22Fenix xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.2 – 1.2 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✓
38%
2.62
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenix / FT Fenix✓
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Atenas – last 2
WL
18 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Uruguay Montevideo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 2
WD
5 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Fenix.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atenas vs Fenix?
On our numbers Atenas have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fenix 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Fenix?
Atenas vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
