Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWelwalo Adigrat Uni to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceWelwalo Adigrat Uni or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21% · fair 4.69
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Arba Minch Kenema take on Welwalo Adigrat Uni on Friday 26 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Arba Minch Kenema's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Fasil Ketema 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Hadiya Hosaena 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arba Minch Kenema arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for Arba Minch Kenema and 1.4 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arba Minch Kenema 15%, draw 22%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 63%.
Safer route: Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arba Minch Kenema 0–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arba Minch Kenema15%fair 6.77 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Welwalo Adigrat Uni63%fair 1.57 · @1.67
1.90Expected goals
0.47Arba Minch Kenema xG
1.43Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–215%
0–015%
1–110%
0–37%
1–27%
From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 0.5 – 1.4 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win✓
63%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welwalo Adigrat Uni / FT Welwalo Adigrat Uni✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
21%
4.69
–
Form
Arba Minch Kenema – last 6
LWWLLW
22 Jun
@ Fasil Ketema
0–2
L
15 Jun
vs Suhul Shire
2–0
W
28 May
@ Mekelakeya
2–1
W
21 May
vs Sidama Bunna
0–3
L
10 May
vs Welayta Dicha
2–3
L
5 May
@ Mekelle Kenema
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6
LDDDDL
22 Jun
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
30 May
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
21 May
@ Adama Kenema
0–0
D
10 May
@ Bahardar
0–0
D
6 May
vs Negelle Arsi
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arba Minch Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our pick is Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 63%.
How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 0–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
