Value bet: Bahardar to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBahardar to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.50
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Bahardar take on Welayta Dicha on Tuesday 16 June, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Bahardar are 7th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Welayta Dicha sit 3rd on 8 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bahardar's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Mekelle Kenema 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welayta Dicha's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Negelle Arsi 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welayta Dicha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Bahardar and 0.8 for Welayta Dicha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Bahardar to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Bahardar 0–0 Welayta Dicha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahardar39%fair 2.57 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.40
Welayta Dicha32%fair 3.12 · @2.80
1.62Expected goals
0.87Bahardar xG
0.75Welayta Dicha xG
48%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Bahardar 0.9 – 0.8 Welayta Dicha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahardar to win✗
39%
2.57
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.50 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Form
Bahardar – last 6
DDDWDL
30 May
@ Mekelle Kenema
0–0
D
19 May
vs Mekelakeya
1–1
D
10 May
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0–0
D
6 May
@ Fasil Ketema
2–0
W
1 May
vs Suhul Shire
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Welayta Dicha – last 6
DDDWWD
4 Jun
vs Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
19 May
@ Ethiopian Medhin
0–0
D
14 May
vs Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
10 May
@ Arba Minch Kenema
3–2
W
4 May
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahardar and Welayta Dicha.
What is the prediction for Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
On our numbers Bahardar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Welayta Dicha 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
Our predicted score is Bahardar 0–0 Welayta Dicha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema0