Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema preview and prediction
The match
Awassa Kenema travel to face Negelle Arsi in the Premier League on Monday 15 June (11:00 WAT). Negelle Arsi are 1st with 11 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Awassa Kenema sit 11th on 5 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Negelle Arsi's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Welayta Dicha 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Awassa Kenema's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Negelle Arsi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Negelle Arsi and 0.7 for Awassa Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Negelle Arsi 1–1 Awassa Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Negelle Arsi44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.60
Awassa Kenema31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
1.69Expected goals
0.96Negelle Arsi xG
0.73Awassa Kenema xG
37%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.0 – 0.7 Awassa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✓
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.63
–
Form
Negelle Arsi – last 6
DDLWWD
4 Jun
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
21 May
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
14 May
@ Mekelakeya
0–4
L
11 May
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
3–0
W
6 May
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Awassa Kenema – last 6
WDLDDL
28 May
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–0
W
4 May
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Awassa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Awassa Kenema 31%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–1 Awassa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema2
Suhul Shire0