Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi preview and prediction
The match
Negelle Arsi travel to face Welayta Dicha in the Premier League on Thursday 4 June (13:00 WAT). Welayta Dicha are 3rd with 8 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Negelle Arsi sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Welayta Dicha's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Ethiopian Medhin 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Negelle Arsi's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Suhul Shire 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welayta Dicha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Welayta Dicha and 0.9 for Negelle Arsi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Welayta Dicha 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Welayta Dicha38%fair 2.67 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
1.79Expected goals
0.93Welayta Dicha xG
0.86Negelle Arsi xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 0.9 – 0.9 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win✗
38%
2.67
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Welayta Dicha – last 6
DDWWDW
19 May
@ Ethiopian Medhin
0–0
D
14 May
vs Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
10 May
@ Arba Minch Kenema
3–2
W
4 May
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Suhul Shire
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Negelle Arsi – last 6
DLWWDD
21 May
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
14 May
@ Mekelakeya
0–4
L
11 May
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
3–0
W
6 May
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Negelle Arsi.
What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Negelle Arsi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?
Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
