Value bet: Ethiopia Bunna to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.82
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna preview and prediction
The match
Awassa Kenema host Ethiopia Bunna in the Premier League on Thursday 28 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Awassa Kenema are 11th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Awassa Kenema's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Sheger Ketema 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ethiopia Bunna's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Fasil Ketema 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ethiopia Bunna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Awassa Kenema and 1.0 for Ethiopia Bunna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Value angle: Ethiopia Bunna to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Awassa Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Bunna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Awassa Kenema35%fair 2.84 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.62
Ethiopia Bunna38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
1.95Expected goals
0.95Awassa Kenema xG
1.00Ethiopia Bunna xG
51%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 1.0 – 1.0 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win✗
38%
2.66
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.82
–
Form
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLDDLD
4 May
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna – last 6
WLDLWD
20 May
vs Fasil Ketema
2–1
W
14 May
@ Suhul Shire
0–1
L
5 May
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–4
L
26 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ethiopia Bunna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema1