Value bet: Gandzasar to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGandzasar to win56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.67
Gandzasar vs Van preview and prediction
The match
Van travel to Stadion Gandzasar in the Premier League on Saturday 2 May (16:00 WAT) to face Gandzasar. Gandzasar are 12th with 3 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Van sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gandzasar's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Shirak 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Van's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to BKMA 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gandzasar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Gandzasar and 0.9 for Van. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gandzasar 56%, draw 20%, Van 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Gandzasar to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Gandzasar 1–0 Van. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gandzasar56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Van24%fair 4.09 · @3.60
2.50Expected goals
1.59Gandzasar xG
0.91Van xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Gandzasar 1.6 – 0.9 Van expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gandzasar to win
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gandzasar / FT Gandzasar
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.67
–
Form
Gandzasar – last 5
WDLLD
26 Apr
vs Shirak
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ BKMA
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ FC Urartu
2–4
L
6 Mar
vs FC Urartu
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Van – last 6
LLLDLL
23 Apr
vs BKMA
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FC Urartu
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Ararat-Armenia
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Ararat
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gandzasar and Van.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gandzasar vs Van?
On our numbers Gandzasar have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Van 24%.
How many goals will there be in Gandzasar vs Van?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gandzasar vs Van?
Our predicted score is Gandzasar 1–0 Van, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gandzasar vs Van?
Gandzasar vs Van (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gandzasar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
