Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Slavia Sofia travel to Stadion Spartak in the First League on Sunday 10 May (12:15 WAT) to face Spartak Varna. Spartak Varna are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Slavia Sofia sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spartak Varna's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Dobrudzha 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Slavia Sofia's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Septemvri Sofia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Slavia Sofia 4–0 Spartak Varna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Spartak Varna and 1.3 for Slavia Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Varna 38%, draw 23%, Slavia Sofia 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Slavia Sofia to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 1–1 Slavia Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Varna38%fair 2.64 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Slavia Sofia39%fair 2.56 · @2.85
2.58Expected goals
1.28Spartak Varna xG
1.30Slavia Sofia xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.3 – 1.3 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slavia Sofia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dobrudzha
Beroe