Value bet: Spartak Varna to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha preview and prediction
The match
Dobrudzha travel to Stadion Spartak in the First League on Wednesday 6 May (18:00 WAT) to face Spartak Varna.
Form guide
Spartak Varna's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Beroe 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dobrudzha's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv Sofia 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Spartak Varna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Spartak Varna 1–0 Dobrudzha.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Spartak Varna and 1.2 for Dobrudzha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Spartak Varna to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 1–1 Dobrudzha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Varna39%fair 2.54 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Dobrudzha37%fair 2.73 · @2.25
2.39Expected goals
1.22Spartak Varna xG
1.17Dobrudzha xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.2 – 1.2 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dobrudzha 37%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
