Value bet: Beroe to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeroe to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Beroe vs Montana preview and prediction
The match
Beroe host Montana in the First League on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion Beroe.
Form guide
Beroe's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Slavia Sofia 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montana's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Septemvri Sofia 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Beroe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Montana 0–1 Beroe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Beroe and 0.9 for Montana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beroe 57%, draw 24%, Montana 19%.
Safer route: Beroe or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Beroe to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Beroe 1–0 Montana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beroe57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Montana19%fair 5.39 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.57Beroe xG
0.87Montana xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Beroe 1.6 – 0.9 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Beroe vs Montana?
On our numbers Beroe have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montana 19%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Montana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Montana?
Our predicted score is Beroe 1–0 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Montana?
Beroe vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lokomotiv Sofia2
Botev Vratsa2