Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Septemvri Sofia vs Montana preview and prediction
The match
Montana travel to Stadion Dragalevtsi in the First League on Friday 1 May (15:30 WAT) to face Septemvri Sofia.
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Montana's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Dobrudzha 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Septemvri Sofia and 0.7 for Montana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 61%, draw 23%, Montana 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Montana16%fair 6.30 · @4.80
2.36Expected goals
1.66Septemvri Sofia xG
0.70Montana xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.7 – 0.7 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montana 16%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Septemvri Sofia vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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