Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
Cherno More Varna host Arda Kardzhali in the First League on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 15:45 (WAT) at Ticha Stadium. Cherno More Varna are 9th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cherno More Varna's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Botev Plovdiv 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Cherno More Varna. Across their last 2 meetings Cherno More Varna have won 0, Arda Kardzhali 0, with 2 draws and 0.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Cherno More Varna and 1.2 for Arda Kardzhali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cherno More Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherno More Varna35%fair 2.84 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali40%fair 2.47 · @2.45
2.24Expected goals
1.07Cherno More Varna xG
1.17Arda Kardzhali xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.1 – 1.2 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arda Kardzhali 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
