Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✓40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Arda Kardzhali in the First League on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Botev Plovdiv 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Cherno More Varna 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Across their last 2 meetings Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 1, Arda Kardzhali 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.1 for Arda Kardzhali. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv40%fair 2.52 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali36%fair 2.78 · @2.60
2.19Expected goals
1.13Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.06Arda Kardzhali xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 – 1.1 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arda Kardzhali 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
