Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Beer Sheva to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Beer Sheva host Maccabi Tel Aviv in the State Cup on Tuesday 26 May, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Teddy Stadium.
Form guide
Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–2 Maccabi Tel Aviv. Across their last 2 meetings Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 1, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.9 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Beer Sheva45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
3.45Expected goals
1.85Hapoel Beer Sheva xG
1.60Maccabi Tel Aviv xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.9 – 1.6 Maccabi Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Hapoel Beer Sheva have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv (State Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Teddy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
