Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Al Nasr to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Nasr to win ✓41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33
Bahla vs Al Nasr preview and prediction
The match
Al Nasr travel to face Bahla in the Professional League on Wednesday 13 May (17:30 WAT). Bahla are 6th with 9 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Al Nasr sit 3rd on 12 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bahla's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Oman Club 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Al Nasr's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Al-Nahda 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Nasr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Bahla and 1.2 for Al Nasr. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bahla 34%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Al Nasr to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bahla 1–1 Al Nasr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahla34%fair 2.94 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.95
Al Nasr41%fair 2.47 · @2.65
2.33Expected goals
1.10Bahla xG
1.23Al Nasr xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Bahla 1.1 – 1.2 Al Nasr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✓
41%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.33
–
Form
Bahla – last 5
DLLLW
27 Apr
vs Oman Club
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Al Seeb
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Dhofar
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sur
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Saham
4–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al Nasr – last 6
LLDWWD
4 May
vs Al-Nahda
0–1
L
27 Apr
vs Sohar
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Oman Club
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Al-Khabourah
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Al-Shabab
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Al Seeb
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahla and Al Nasr.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bahla vs Al Nasr?
On our numbers Bahla have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Nasr 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bahla vs Al Nasr?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahla vs Al Nasr?
Our predicted score is Bahla 1–1 Al Nasr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bahla vs Al Nasr?
Bahla vs Al Nasr (Professional League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.