Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.37 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultItuano to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Ituano vs Ferroviária preview and prediction
The match
Ituano host Ferroviária in the Paulista A2 on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ituano's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Votuporanguense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ferroviária's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Floresta 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ferroviária arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Ituano and 1.2 for Ferroviária. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Ituano 1–1 Ferroviária. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ituano39%fair 2.58 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Ferroviária37%fair 2.73 · @2.80
2.37Expected goals
1.20Ituano xG
1.16Ferroviária xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.2 – 1.2 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✗
39%
2.58
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Ituano – last 6
WLWDLL
15 Apr
vs Votuporanguense
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ XV de Piracicaba
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Água Santa
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Oeste
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ São José EC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ferroviária – last 6
DWLWLW
21 Apr
@ Floresta
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Juventus
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Sertãozinho
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Maringá
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ São José EC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Ferroviária.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Ituano vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers Ituano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ferroviária 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Ferroviária?
Ituano vs Ferroviária (Paulista A2) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
