Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest preview and prediction
The match
Nottingham Forest travel to Villa Park in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 7 May (20:00 WAT) to face Aston Villa.
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest 0–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nottingham Forest's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Chelsea 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Aston Villa and 0.9 for Nottingham Forest. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa 61%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 17%.
Safer route: Aston Villa or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Aston Villa 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa61%fair 1.65 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
Nottingham Forest17%fair 5.72 · @4.45
2.65Expected goals
1.74Aston Villa xG
0.91Nottingham Forest xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.7 – 0.9 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nottingham Forest 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1–1 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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