Value bet: Derby Academie to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerby Academie to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.85
Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs preview and prediction
The match
Onze Créateurs travel to face Derby Academie in the Première Division on Tuesday 19 May (17:30 WAT). Derby Academie are 1st with 6 points from 2 games (top of the table), while Onze Créateurs sit 13th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Derby Academie's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Binga 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Onze Créateurs's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Djoliba 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Derby Academie arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Derby Academie and 0.6 for Onze Créateurs. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Derby Academie to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 1.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Derby Academie 0–0 Onze Créateurs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derby Academie47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.60
Onze Créateurs28%fair 3.62 · @3.30
1.48Expected goals
0.91Derby Academie xG
0.57Onze Créateurs xG
38%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–023%
1–021%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Derby Academie 0.9 – 0.6 Onze Créateurs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derby Academie to win✗
47%
2.13
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.85
–
Form
Derby Academie – last 5
DWWLD
15 Apr
@ Binga
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs US Bougouba
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Bakaridjan
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Djoliba
0–2
L
2 Mar
@ USFAS Bamako
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Onze Créateurs – last 3
LLD
15 Apr
@ Djoliba
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Afrique Football Élite
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs ASKO
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby Academie and Onze Créateurs.
What is the prediction for Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?
Our pick is Under 1.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?
On our numbers Derby Academie have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Onze Créateurs 28%.
How many goals will there be in Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?
Our predicted score is Derby Academie 0–0 Onze Créateurs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?
Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs (Première Division) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
