Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Beitar Jerusalem in the Ligat Ha'al on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Bloomfield Stadium. Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1st with 25 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Beitar Jerusalem sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Maccabi Haifa 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beitar Jerusalem's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.7 for Beitar Jerusalem. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Tel Aviv32%fair 3.17 · @3.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
Beitar Jerusalem47%fair 2.11 · @2.12
2.98Expected goals
1.31Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
1.67Beitar Jerusalem xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.3 – 1.7 Beitar Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beitar Jerusalem to win✓
47%
2.11
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beitar Jerusalem / FT Beitar Jerusalem✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 3
WWW
29 Apr
vs Maccabi Haifa
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Maccabi Haifa
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Katamon
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beitar Jerusalem – last 3
WWD
28 Apr
vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Maccabi Netanya
8–2
W
16 Feb
vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0–0
D
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
On our numbers Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beitar Jerusalem 47%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
