Value bet: Maccabi Netanya to win @ 1.81 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Netanya to win ✓65% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.13
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon preview and prediction
The match
The Ligat Ha'al sees Maccabi Netanya take on Hapoel Katamon on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Netanya Stadium. Maccabi Netanya are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Hapoel Katamon sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Maccabi Netanya's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 3.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Maccabi Netanya and 0.9 for Hapoel Katamon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Maccabi Netanya to win at 1.81 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maccabi Netanya 2–0 Hapoel Katamon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Netanya65%fair 1.55 · @1.81
Draw15%fair 6.72 · @3.75
Hapoel Katamon21%fair 4.86 · @3.70
2.88Expected goals
1.95Maccabi Netanya xG
0.93Hapoel Katamon xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Maccabi Netanya 2.0 – 0.9 Hapoel Katamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Netanya to win✓
65%
1.55
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Maccabi Netanya ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Netanya / FT Maccabi Netanya✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.13
–
Form
Maccabi Netanya – last 3
LWL
29 Apr
@ Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Ashdod
3–2
W
23 Feb
vs Beitar Jerusalem
2–8
L
1.7Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Katamon – last 2
WL
29 Apr
@ Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon?
On our numbers Maccabi Netanya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hapoel Katamon 21%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Netanya 2–0 Hapoel Katamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon?
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.