Value bet: Hapoel Haifa to win @ 1.78 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Haifa to win ✓62% · @1.78
Double chanceHapoel Haifa or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Haifa host Bnei Sakhnin in the Ligat Ha'al on Monday 18 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Sammy Ofer Stadium. Hapoel Haifa are 8th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Bnei Sakhnin sit 7th on 13 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hapoel Haifa's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with Maccabi Netanya 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bnei Sakhnin's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Hapoel Haifa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Hapoel Haifa and 0.7 for Bnei Sakhnin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Hapoel Haifa to win at 1.78 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Hapoel Haifa 1–0 Bnei Sakhnin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Haifa62%fair 1.60 · @1.78
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.45
Bnei Sakhnin14%fair 7.20 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.83Hapoel Haifa xG
0.75Bnei Sakhnin xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Hapoel Haifa 1.8 – 0.7 Bnei Sakhnin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Haifa to win✓
62%
1.60
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Haifa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Hapoel Haifa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Haifa / FT Hapoel Haifa✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Hapoel Haifa – last 4
DDLD
13 May
@ Maccabi Netanya
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Ironi Tiberias
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1–4
L
22 Feb
@ Hapoel Beer Sheva
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Bnei Sakhnin – last 4
LLDL
13 May
vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0–4
L
4 May
vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
0–2
L
28 Apr
vs Ashdod
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Maccabi Haifa
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Haifa and Bnei Sakhnin.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?
On our numbers Hapoel Haifa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bnei Sakhnin 14%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Haifa 1–0 Bnei Sakhnin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sammy Ofer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ashdod3
Maccabi Bnei Raina1