Value bet: Hapoel Katamon to win @ 2.56 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Katamon to win ✓43% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon preview and prediction
The match
The Ligat Ha'al sees Ashdod take on Hapoel Katamon on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Form guide
Ashdod's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Bnei Sakhnin 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Hapoel Katamon's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Maccabi Netanya 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hapoel Katamon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Ashdod and 1.4 for Hapoel Katamon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Hapoel Katamon to win at 2.56 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ashdod 1–1 Hapoel Katamon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ashdod35%fair 2.88 · @2.54
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Hapoel Katamon43%fair 2.31 · @2.56
2.56Expected goals
1.19Ashdod xG
1.37Hapoel Katamon xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ashdod 1.2 – 1.4 Hapoel Katamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Katamon to win✓
43%
2.31
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Katamon / FT Hapoel Katamon✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Ashdod – last 3
DLL
28 Apr
@ Bnei Sakhnin
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Maccabi Netanya
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ Maccabi Tel Aviv
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Katamon – last 3
LWL
4 May
@ Maccabi Netanya
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashdod and Hapoel Katamon.
What is the prediction for Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
On our numbers Ashdod have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Katamon 43%.
How many goals will there be in Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our predicted score is Ashdod 1–1 Hapoel Katamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maccabi Bnei Raina0