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Premier League · Hong-Kong · Aberdeen Sports Ground
3–1
FT

Southern District vs Kowloon City prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKowloon City to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Southern District vs Kowloon City preview and prediction

The match

Southern District host Kowloon City in the Premier League on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at Aberdeen Sports Ground. Southern District are 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Kowloon City sit 6th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Southern District's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to BC Rangers 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Kowloon City's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Eastern District 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Kowloon City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Kowloon City 2–1 Southern District.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Southern District and 1.5 for Kowloon City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Southern District 1–1 Kowloon City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Southern District38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Kowloon City40%fair 2.53 · @2.60
2.90Expected goals
1.43Southern District xG
1.47Kowloon City xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Southern District 1.4 – 1.5 Kowloon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKowloon City to win ✗40%2.532.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kowloon City / FT Kowloon City ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.77–

Form

Southern District – last 6

LLDLWW
19 Apr@ BC Rangers1–3L
12 Apr@ Kowloon City1–2L
22 Marvs North District2–2D
15 Mar@ Wofoo Tai Po0–1L
28 Febvs Wofoo Tai Po2–1W
22 Febvs Hong Kong FC2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kowloon City – last 6

WWDLLW
19 Aprvs Eastern District2–1W
12 Aprvs Southern District2–1W
21 Mar@ Warriors0–0D
18 Mar@ Kitchee0–1L
14 Mar@ Kitchee0–4L
1 Marvs BC Rangers5–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Kowloon City v Southern District2–1
Southern District vs Kowloon City head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee000000
2Warriors000000
3North District000000
4Wofoo Tai Po000000
5Eastern000000
6Kowloon City000000
7Eastern District000000
8Southern District000000
9BC Rangers000000
10Hong Kong FC000000
11Shatin000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southern District vs Kowloon City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Southern District vs Kowloon City?

On our numbers Southern District have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kowloon City 40%.

How many goals will there be in Southern District vs Kowloon City?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Southern District vs Kowloon City?

Our predicted score is Southern District 1–1 Kowloon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Southern District vs Kowloon City?

Southern District vs Kowloon City (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Aberdeen Sports Ground.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.