Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceHolbæk B&I or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Holbæk B&I vs Sundby preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division sees Holbæk B&I take on Sundby on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Holbæk B&I are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Sundby sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holbæk B&I's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Brønshøj 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sundby's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Vanløse 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sundby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Holbæk B&I and 1.0 for Sundby. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Holbæk B&I to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holbæk B&I 2–1 Sundby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holbæk B&I65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.50
Sundby16%fair 6.37 · @4.40
3.34Expected goals
2.30Holbæk B&I xG
1.04Sundby xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.3 – 1.0 Sundby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holbæk B&I to win✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Holbæk B&I or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Holbæk B&I ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holbæk B&I / FT Holbæk B&I✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
Holbæk B&I – last 5
WLLLW
6 Apr
@ Brønshøj
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Nykobing FC
1–5
L
28 Mar
@ FA 2000
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Næsby
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sundby – last 3
WLW
6 Apr
vs Vanløse
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Odder
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Vejgaard B
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holbæk B&I and Sundby.
Our pick is Holbæk B&I to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sundby 16%.
How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 Sundby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
Holbæk B&I vs Sundby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lyseng2
Vejgaard B1
FA 20001
Odder4