Value bet: Thisted FC to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaestved to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Naestved vs Thisted FC preview and prediction
The match
Naestved host Thisted FC in the 2. Division on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Naestved are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Thisted FC sit 12th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naestved's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to HIK 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Thisted FC's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Vendsyssel FF 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Naestved arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Naestved and 1.1 for Thisted FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naestved 44%, draw 22%, Thisted FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Thisted FC to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Naestved 1–1 Thisted FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naestved44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Thisted FC34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.41Expected goals
1.30Naestved xG
1.11Thisted FC xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Naestved 1.3 – 1.1 Thisted FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naestved to win✗
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naestved / FT Naestved✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Naestved – last 6
LLWLDW
13 May
vs HIK
1–2
L
9 May
vs Vendsyssel FF
1–3
L
1 May
@ HIK
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ AB Copenhagen
0–3
L
17 Apr
vs Roskilde
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs HIK
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Thisted FC – last 6
LLLWDL
13 May
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–2
L
8 May
vs AB Copenhagen
1–2
L
1 May
@ Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs HIK
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brabrand
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Fremad Amager
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naestved and Thisted FC.
What is the prediction for Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Naestved vs Thisted FC?
On our numbers Naestved have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Thisted FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Naestved vs Thisted FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Our predicted score is Naestved 1–1 Thisted FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Naestved vs Thisted FC (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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