Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: Naestved to win @ 1.87 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaestved to win ✓61% · @1.87
Double chanceNaestved or draw ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.77
HIK vs Naestved preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division sees HIK take on Naestved on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). HIK are 10th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Naestved sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
HIK's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Vendsyssel FF 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Naestved's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to AB Copenhagen 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Naestved arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Naestved 2–1 HIK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for HIK and 1.9 for Naestved. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: HIK 19%, draw 20%, Naestved 61%.
Safer route: Naestved or draw (81%) at 1.24.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Naestved to win at 1.87 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Naestved or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: HIK 0–1 Naestved. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HIK19%fair 5.30 · @3.68
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.66
Naestved61%fair 1.64 · @1.87
2.81Expected goals
0.92HIK xG
1.89Naestved xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: HIK 0.9 – 1.9 Naestved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Naestved or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win HIK vs Naestved?
On our numbers HIK have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naestved 61%.
How many goals will there be in HIK vs Naestved?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HIK vs Naestved?
Our predicted score is HIK 0–1 Naestved, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is HIK vs Naestved?
HIK vs Naestved (2. Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AB Copenhagen3
Vendsyssel FF1