Value bet: Naestved to win @ 2.27 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaestved to win ✗49% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Naestved vs Roskilde preview and prediction
The match
Naestved host Roskilde in the 2. Division on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Naestved are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Roskilde sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Naestved's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat HIK 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Roskilde's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Vendsyssel FF 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Naestved arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished Roskilde 2–3 Naestved.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Naestved and 1.1 for Roskilde. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Naestved to win at 2.27 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Naestved 1–1 Roskilde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naestved49%fair 2.04 · @2.27
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.36
Roskilde30%fair 3.33 · @2.93
2.67Expected goals
1.54Naestved xG
1.13Roskilde xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Naestved 1.5 – 1.1 Roskilde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Naestved vs Roskilde?
On our numbers Naestved have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Roskilde 30%.
How many goals will there be in Naestved vs Roskilde?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naestved vs Roskilde?
Our predicted score is Naestved 1–1 Roskilde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naestved vs Roskilde?
Naestved vs Roskilde (2. Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
