Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Estelí to win ✗75% · @1.20
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✗91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti preview and prediction
The match
Walter Ferretti travel to Estadio Independencia in the Primera Division on Thursday 16 April (02:00 WAT) to face Real Estelí. Real Estelí are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Walter Ferretti sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Real Estelí's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Diriangén 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Walter Ferretti's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Managua 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Real Estelí arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for Real Estelí and 0.6 for Walter Ferretti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Estelí 75%, draw 16%, Walter Ferretti 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Estelí to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Real Estelí 2–0 Walter Ferretti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Estelí75%fair 1.33 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @5.50
Walter Ferretti9%fair 11.01 · @12.00
2.73Expected goals
2.17Real Estelí xG
0.56Walter Ferretti xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Estelí 2.2 – 0.6 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Estelí to win✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Double chance
Real Estelí or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Real Estelí ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí✗
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Real Estelí – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Apr
@ Diriangén
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Managua
2–1
W
9 Mar
@ Rancho Santana
4–0
W
6 Mar
vs Jalapa
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ UNAN Managua
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Real Madriz
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Walter Ferretti – last 6
DDLWLW
13 Apr
@ Managua
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Rancho Santana
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Diriangén
2–5
L
4 Mar
vs H&H Export
3–1
W
2 Mar
@ Real Madriz
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs UNAN Managua
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Estelí and Walter Ferretti.
What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
Our pick is Real Estelí to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
On our numbers Real Estelí have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Walter Ferretti 9%.
How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
Our predicted score is Real Estelí 2–0 Walter Ferretti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real Madriz0