Value bet: Nublense to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNublense to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceNublense or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion preview and prediction
The match
Nublense host Universidad de Concepcion in the on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Form guide
Nublense's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Cobresal 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universidad de Concepcion's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Union La Calera 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nublense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Universidad de Concepcion 0–2 Nublense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Nublense and 0.7 for Universidad de Concepcion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nublense 63%, draw 22%, Universidad de Concepcion 15%.
Safer route: Nublense or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Nublense to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nublense 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nublense63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Universidad de Concepcion15%fair 6.89 · @3.85
2.39Expected goals
1.72Nublense xG
0.67Universidad de Concepcion xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.7 – 0.7 Universidad de Concepcion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?
On our numbers Nublense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad de Concepcion 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion () kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Concepción1
Coquimbo Unido2
U. Catolica5
Cobresal1