Zimbabwe travel to The Valley in the Friendlies on Tuesday 26 May (19:30 WAT) to face Nigeria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Nigeria and 0.7 for Zimbabwe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nigeria 63%, draw 23%, Zimbabwe 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nigeria 1–0 Zimbabwe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nigeria63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Zimbabwe14%fair 7.25 · @6.00
2.60Expected goals
1.86Nigeria xG
0.74Zimbabwe xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nigeria 1.9 – 0.7 Zimbabwe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nigeria to win✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Double chance
Nigeria or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Nigeria ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nigeria / FT Nigeria✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Nigeria – last 2
DW
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zimbabwe – last 1
W
31 Mar
vs Zambia U23
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nigeria and Zimbabwe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
On our numbers Nigeria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zimbabwe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
Our predicted score is Nigeria 1–0 Zimbabwe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
Nigeria vs Zimbabwe (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
