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Cup · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena

FC Astana

WLWDW
1–2
FT

FK Tobol Kostanay

WLWLL

FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.75Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Astana to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.75
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 16.88

FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay preview and prediction

The match

FC Astana host FK Tobol Kostanay in the Cup on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Astana Arena.

Form guide

FC Astana's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat BKS 2–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Kaspiy 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

FC Astana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished FC Astana 2–0 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 3.3 for FC Astana and 2.2 for FK Tobol Kostanay. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Astana 3–2 FK Tobol Kostanay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Astana57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.00
FK Tobol Kostanay21%fair 4.86 · @3.80
5.50Expected goals
3.31FC Astana xG
2.19FK Tobol Kostanay xG
70%Both score
91%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

3–26%
3–15%
2–25%
2–15%
4–25%
4–14%

From our goals model: FC Astana 3.3 – 2.2 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Astana to win ✗57%1.771.85
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Half-time resultFC Astana ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Astana / FT FC Astana ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6%16.88–

Form

FC Astana – last 5

WLWDW
8 Apr@ BKS2–1W
5 Apr@ Kairat Almaty0–4L
20 Marvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–0W
16 Mar@ Kaisar0–0D
8 Marvs Zhetysu4–1W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WLWLLD
26 Aprvs Kaspiy2–1W
19 Apr@ Ulytau1–2L
8 Apr@ Ansat8–0W
4 Apr@ Yelimay Semey0–1L
20 Mar@ FC Astana0–2L
16 Marvs Zhetysu2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026FC Astana v FK Tobol Kostanay2–0
FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Okzhetpes2 Zhenys3 139%2.40X26%2.80235%2.75 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.91 ✓
FT Irtysh1 Kyzyl-Zhar2 135%2.40X24%3.00240%2.65 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.65 ✗
FT Atyrau0 Zhetysu2 143%2.25X23%2.88234%2.90 GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.91 ✗
FT Kaisar2 Kairat Almaty1 136%2.62X25%2.90239%2.45 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.80 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers FC Astana have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Tobol Kostanay 21%.

How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is FC Astana 3–2 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.

When is FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.