Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSC Backa Topola to win ✓74% · @1.24
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak preview and prediction
The match
TSC Backa Topola host Napredak in the Super Liga on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at TSC Arena.
Form guide
TSC Backa Topola's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to IMT Novi Beograd 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Napredak's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Mladost Lucani 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
TSC Backa Topola arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Napredak 1–2 TSC Backa Topola.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for TSC Backa Topola and 0.5 for Napredak. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Napredak. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSC Backa Topola74%fair 1.34 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.80
Napredak6%fair 17.02 · @12.50
2.76Expected goals
2.22TSC Backa Topola xG
0.54Napredak xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–18%
4–06%
From our goals model: TSC Backa Topola 2.2 – 0.5 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
On our numbers TSC Backa Topola have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Napredak 6%.
How many goals will there be in TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
Our predicted score is TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at TSC Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.