Value bet: Cukaricki to win @ 2.76 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCukaricki to win42% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 9.90
Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki preview and prediction
The match
Cukaricki travel to Gradski Stadion in the Super Liga on Sunday 26 April (15:30 WAT) to face Novi Pazar. Novi Pazar are 8th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Cukaricki sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Novi Pazar's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Radnik Surdulica 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cukaricki's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with OFK Beograd 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Novi Pazar 1–1 Cukaricki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Novi Pazar and 1.4 for Cukaricki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novi Pazar 35%, draw 23%, Cukaricki 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Cukaricki to win at 2.76 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Novi Pazar 1–1 Cukaricki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novi Pazar35%fair 2.85 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Cukaricki42%fair 2.38 · @2.76
2.62Expected goals
1.23Novi Pazar xG
1.38Cukaricki xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Novi Pazar 1.2 – 1.4 Cukaricki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
On our numbers Novi Pazar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cukaricki 42%.
How many goals will there be in Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
Our predicted score is Novi Pazar 1–1 Cukaricki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
