Value bet: Novi Pazar to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRadnik Surdulica to win ✓45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar preview and prediction
The match
Novi Pazar travel to EFBET Stadion in the Super Liga on Wednesday 22 April (16:00 WAT) to face Radnik Surdulica. Radnik Surdulica are 6th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Novi Pazar sit 8th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Radnik Surdulica's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with OFK Beograd 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Novi Pazar's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to FK Partizan 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Radnik Surdulica and 1.1 for Novi Pazar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Radnik Surdulica 45%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Novi Pazar to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Radnik Surdulica 1–1 Novi Pazar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Radnik Surdulica45%fair 2.23 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Novi Pazar33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
2.52Expected goals
1.38Radnik Surdulica xG
1.14Novi Pazar xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Radnik Surdulica 1.4 – 1.1 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Radnik Surdulica to win✓
45%
2.23
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Radnik Surdulica / FT Radnik Surdulica✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Radnik Surdulica – last 6
DLWDDW
9 Apr
@ OFK Beograd
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Radnicki NIS
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ IMT Novi Beograd
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Napredak
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Novi Pazar – last 6
LDWLWW
9 Apr
vs FK Partizan
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Cukaricki
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Mladost Lucani
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs TSC Backa Topola
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Vojvodina
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar.
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?
On our numbers Radnik Surdulica have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novi Pazar 33%.
How many goals will there be in Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?
Our predicted score is Radnik Surdulica 1–1 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar (Super Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at EFBET Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
