Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Spartak Moscow or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.45
Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Spartak Moscow take on CSKA Moscow on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Lukoil Arena.
Form guide
Spartak Moscow's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Krylia Sovetov 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
CSKA Moscow's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with FC Rostov 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Spartak Moscow and 0.9 for CSKA Moscow. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Spartak Moscow to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Moscow or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2–0 CSKA Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.90
CSKA Moscow14%fair 7.07 · @4.60
3.07Expected goals
2.13Spartak Moscow xG
0.94CSKA Moscow xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.1 – 0.9 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.34
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Spartak Moscow – last 6
LWLWWW
1 May
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akhmat
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
CSKA Moscow – last 6
DLWWLL
21 Apr
vs FC Rostov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Krylia Sovetov
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ FC Krasnodar
0–4
L
8 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and CSKA Moscow.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Moscow 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
