Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Grêmio Sãocarlense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrêmio Sãocarlense to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceGrêmio Sãocarlense or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.89
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos preview and prediction
The match
Barretos travel to face Grêmio Sãocarlense in the Paulista A4 on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Grêmio Sãocarlense's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Barretos 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Barretos's last 4: DDLW Most recently they drew with Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Grêmio Sãocarlense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Barretos 1–1 Grêmio Sãocarlense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Grêmio Sãocarlense and 0.5 for Barretos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Grêmio Sãocarlense or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grêmio Sãocarlense to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–0 Barretos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grêmio Sãocarlense65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.10
Barretos15%fair 6.65 · @4.20
1.98Expected goals
1.49Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
0.50Barretos xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.5 – 0.5 Barretos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
Our pick is Grêmio Sãocarlense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
On our numbers Grêmio Sãocarlense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barretos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
Our predicted score is Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–0 Barretos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos?
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Barretos (Paulista A4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.