Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarretos to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista A4 sees Barretos take on Grêmio Sãocarlense on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Barretos's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Penapolense 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Grêmio Sãocarlense's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat São Caetano 4–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grêmio Sãocarlense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Barretos and 1.0 for Grêmio Sãocarlense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Barretos 1–0 Grêmio Sãocarlense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barretos39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.95
Grêmio Sãocarlense36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
1.98Expected goals
1.02Barretos xG
0.96Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barretos 1.0 – 1.0 Grêmio Sãocarlense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win✗
39%
2.59
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Barretos – last 3
DLW
25 Mar
@ Penapolense
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Inter de Bebedouro
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Jabaquara
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grêmio Sãocarlense – last 5
WWDLW
28 Mar
vs São Caetano
4–1
W
25 Mar
@ Joseense
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Penapolense
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Taquaritinga
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Tanabi
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barretos and Grêmio Sãocarlense.
What is the prediction for Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
On our numbers Barretos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Grêmio Sãocarlense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
Our predicted score is Barretos 1–0 Grêmio Sãocarlense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense?
Barretos vs Grêmio Sãocarlense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
