Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewroz to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.00
Newroz vs Al Karkh preview and prediction
The match
Al Karkh travel to face Newroz in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 8 April (15:00 WAT). Newroz are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Al Karkh sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newroz's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Naft Maysan 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Karkh's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Mosul 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Newroz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Newroz and 1.0 for Al Karkh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newroz 45%, draw 22%, Al Karkh 33%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Newroz 1–1 Al Karkh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newroz45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Al Karkh33%fair 3.01 · @3.10
2.33Expected goals
1.28Newroz xG
1.05Al Karkh xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.3 – 1.0 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.00
–
Form
Newroz – last 6
WWWWWL
31 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs Gharraf
2–1
W
19 Mar
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najaf
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Karkh – last 6
WWLDWL
3 Apr
@ Mosul
2–1
W
30 Mar
vs Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Naft
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Al Talaba
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Al Karkh.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Newroz have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Karkh 33%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–1 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Al Karkh?
Newroz vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najaf1