Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gandzasar to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGandzasar to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceGandzasar or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Gandzasar vs Shirak preview and prediction
The match
Gandzasar host Shirak in the Premier League on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Gandzasar. Gandzasar are 12th with 3 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Shirak sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gandzasar's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with BKMA 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Shirak's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Ararat-Armenia 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Gandzasar and 0.7 for Shirak. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gandzasar 61%, draw 26%, Shirak 13%.
Safer route: Gandzasar or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Gandzasar to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gandzasar 1–0 Shirak. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gandzasar61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Shirak13%fair 7.80 · @3.80
2.36Expected goals
1.70Gandzasar xG
0.67Shirak xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gandzasar 1.7 – 0.7 Shirak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gandzasar to win✓
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Gandzasar or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gandzasar / FT Gandzasar✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.26
–
Form
Gandzasar – last 4
DLLD
19 Apr
@ BKMA
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ FC Urartu
2–4
L
6 Mar
vs FC Urartu
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Shirak – last 6
LDDLLL
20 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–4
L
16 Apr
vs BKMA
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ BKMA
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FC Noah
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gandzasar and Shirak.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gandzasar vs Shirak?
On our numbers Gandzasar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shirak 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gandzasar vs Shirak?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gandzasar vs Shirak?
Our predicted score is Gandzasar 1–0 Shirak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gandzasar vs Shirak?
Gandzasar vs Shirak (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gandzasar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
