MO Constantine vs US Chaouia prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
US Chaouia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: US Chaouia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Chaouia to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceUS Chaouia or draw ✓85% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.42
MO Constantine vs US Chaouia preview and prediction
The match
MO Constantine host US Chaouia in the Ligue 2 on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). MO Constantine are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while US Chaouia sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MO Constantine's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with USM Annaba 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
US Chaouia's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat IB Khémis El Khechna 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
US Chaouia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for MO Constantine and 1.5 for US Chaouia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MO Constantine 15%, draw 25%, US Chaouia 60%.
Safer route: US Chaouia or draw (85%) at 1.30.
Value angle: US Chaouia to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was US Chaouia or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MO Constantine 0–1 US Chaouia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MO Constantine15%fair 6.53 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
US Chaouia60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.09Expected goals
0.60MO Constantine xG
1.49US Chaouia xG
38%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: MO Constantine 0.6 – 1.5 US Chaouia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Chaouia to win✓
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
US Chaouia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Chaouia / FT US Chaouia✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.42
–
Form
MO Constantine – last 6
DDDWLD
17 Apr
@ USM Annaba
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Nrb Beni Oulbene
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs NC Magra
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Khroub
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ MO Bejaia
0–2
L
17 Feb
vs JS Jijel
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
US Chaouia – last 6
WLWWLW
17 Apr
vs IB Khémis El Khechna
3–0
W
10 Apr
@ MO Bejaia
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ HB Chelghoum Laïd
8–0
W
6 Mar
vs Teleghma
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ USM Annaba
0–1
L
17 Feb
vs Khroub
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MO Constantine and US Chaouia.
What is the prediction for MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?
Our pick is US Chaouia or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?
On our numbers MO Constantine have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and US Chaouia 60%.
How many goals will there be in MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?
Our predicted score is MO Constantine 0–1 US Chaouia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?
MO Constantine vs US Chaouia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JS Bordj Ménaïel0