Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKustosija to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceKustosija or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Kustosija vs Lucko preview and prediction
The match
Lucko travel to Stadion Kustosija in the Second NL on Friday 24 April (16:00 WAT) to face Kustosija.
Form guide
Kustosija's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Uskok Klis 0–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Kustosija and 0.5 for Lucko. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kustosija 70%, draw 22%, Lucko 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kustosija to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kustosija 1–0 Lucko. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kustosija70%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @5.00
Lucko8%fair 13.21 · @7.50
2.46Expected goals
1.94Kustosija xG
0.52Lucko xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kustosija 1.9 – 0.5 Lucko expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kustosija to win✓
70%
1.42
1.25
Double chance
Kustosija or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Kustosija ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kustosija / FT Kustosija✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.02
–
Form
Kustosija – last 6
DLDWWW
17 Apr
vs Uskok Klis
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Segesta Sisak
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Križevci
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Dakovo-Croatia
2–0
W
10 Mar
vs Solin
3–0
W
6 Mar
vs Varteks Varaždin
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lucko – last 2
LW
2 Apr
vs Solin
1–2
L
24 Feb
vs Trnje
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kustosija and Lucko.
Our pick is Kustosija to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kustosija vs Lucko?
On our numbers Kustosija have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lucko 8%.
How many goals will there be in Kustosija vs Lucko?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kustosija vs Lucko?
Our predicted score is Kustosija 1–0 Lucko, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kustosija vs Lucko?
Kustosija vs Lucko (Second NL) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kustosija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
