Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Chitipa United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChitipa United to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Chitipa United vs MAFCO preview and prediction
The match
Chitipa United host MAFCO in the Super League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Chitipa United are 8th with 25 points from 19 games (in the top half), while MAFCO sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chitipa United's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Creck 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MAFCO's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Moyale Barracks 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chitipa United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished MAFCO 2–0 Chitipa United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for Chitipa United and 0.7 for MAFCO. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chitipa United 57%, draw 21%, MAFCO 22%.
Value angle: Chitipa United to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Chitipa United 1–0 MAFCO. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chitipa United57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @2.88
MAFCO22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
1.99Expected goals
1.34Chitipa United xG
0.65MAFCO xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chitipa United 1.3 – 0.7 MAFCO expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chitipa United vs MAFCO?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chitipa United vs MAFCO?
On our numbers Chitipa United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MAFCO 22%.
How many goals will there be in Chitipa United vs MAFCO?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chitipa United vs MAFCO?
Our predicted score is Chitipa United 1–0 MAFCO, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Chitipa United vs MAFCO?
Chitipa United vs MAFCO (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
