Karonga United vs Chitipa United prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Chitipa United to win @ 3.60 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaronga United to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Karonga United vs Chitipa United preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Karonga United take on Chitipa United on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT). Karonga United are 13th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Chitipa United sit 8th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Karonga United's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Nyasa Big Bullets 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Chitipa United's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Mitundu Baptist 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chitipa United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Karonga United and 1.1 for Chitipa United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karonga United 40%, draw 25%, Chitipa United 36%.
Value angle: Chitipa United to win at 3.60 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Karonga United 1–1 Chitipa United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karonga United40%fair 2.52 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Chitipa United36%fair 2.79 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.16Karonga United xG
1.09Chitipa United xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Karonga United 1.2 – 1.1 Chitipa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karonga United to win✗
40%
2.52
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karonga United / FT Karonga United✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Karonga United – last 6
LLWLLL
16 Aug
vs Nyasa Big Bullets
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Mitundu Baptist
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Creck
2–1
W
19 Jul
@ Silver Strikers
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Dedza Dynamos
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Blue Eagles
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chitipa United – last 6
WLWWDW
15 Aug
vs Mitundu Baptist
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Nyasa Big Bullets
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Ekhaya
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Dedza Dynamos
2–1
W
5 Jul
vs Silver Strikers
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Kamuzu Barracks
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karonga United and Chitipa United.
What is the prediction for Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
On our numbers Karonga United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chitipa United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
Our predicted score is Karonga United 1–1 Chitipa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Karonga United vs Chitipa United?
Karonga United vs Chitipa United (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
